Bhopal, February 28 – The forecast for up to the morning of March 1 predicts dry weather across all districts of Madhya Pradesh, with mainly clear skies in Bhopal (maximum 31 degrees Celsius, minimum 15 degrees Celsius, winds 10-12 kmph).
The outlook suggests a gradual increase of 2-3 degrees Celsius in maximum temperatures over the next five days, potentially leading to heatwave-like conditions in the lowlands. Synoptic systems include a cyclonic circulation over West Rajasthan at an altitude of 1.5 km, a trough extending to Vidarbha via West Madhya Pradesh at an altitude of 0.9 km, and a subtropical westerly jet stream at 12.6 km with winds of 222 kmph over Northwest India.
A fresh Western Disturbance is expected to affect the Western Himalayas from the night of March 4, potentially bringing mild cloudiness to northern Madhya Pradesh, but not immediate rain for the state.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) Meteorological Centre in Bhopal has issued its latest weather bulletin, highlighting a persistent dry spell across Madhya Pradesh with no significant rainfall recorded in the past 24 hours.
As the state marks 150 years of IMD's service, the report underscores stable yet above-normal temperatures, signaling the onset of warmer pre-summer conditions. Over the past day, the weather remained predominantly dry in all divisions, including Gwalior, Chambal, Rewa, Jabalpur, Sagar, Shahdol, Narmadapuram, Indore, Ujjain, and Bhopal.
Maximum temperatures showed minimal changes, ranging from normal to 1.7-3.0 degrees C above normal in northern and eastern districts. The hottest spot was Khargone at 34.8 degrees C, followed by Khajuraho (34.3 degrees C), Narmadapuram (34.2 degrees C), Khandwa (34.1 degrees C), and Berasia in Bhopal (33.7 degrees C). Cooler maxima were noted in hill stations like Pachmarhi (27.6 degrees C) and Amarkantak (28.8 degrees C).
Minimum temperatures rose appreciably in Gwalior (by 1.1 degrees C) and markedly in Shahdol (by 1.9 degrees C), staying 2.3-4.4 degrees C above normal in several areas. The chilliest nights were in Mandsaur and Pachmarhi at 11.8 degrees C, with Indore at 12.5 degrees C, Karoundi (Katni) at 12.7 degrees C, Kalyanpur (Shahdol) at 13.2 degrees C, and Girvar (Shajapur) at 13.4 degrees C.
Warmer minima included Kannod (Dewas) and Jabalpur at 18.4 degrees C.
Analyzing the provided temperature anomaly maps, maximum temperatures show in western and southern MP (e.g., Indore, Ujjain divisions), indicating 2-4 degrees C above normal, while northern areas like Gwalior are closer to normal. Minimum temperature maps confirm 3-4 degree C elevations. Rainfall forecast maps for February 28 to March 4 show "No Rainfall" or dry conditions, with no warnings for precipitation, thunderstorms, or gusty winds.
