Washington, March 18 Relations between India and Pakistan remain at risk of nuclear conflict, according to the Annual Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community, presented to the US Senate on Wednesday.
According to the 34-page report, while India and Pakistan do not seek to initiate conflict, conditions exist for terrorist actors to continue creating catalysts for crises.
“Relations between India and Pakistan remain a risk of nuclear conflict, given past conflicts where these two nuclear states faced off, creating the danger of escalation. The terrorist attack last year near Pahalgam, in the Indian Union Territory of Jammu and Kashmir, demonstrated the dangers of terrorist attacks sparking conflict,” the document said.
“President Trump’s intervention de-escalated the most recent nuclear tensions, and we assess that neither country seeks to return to open conflict, but that conditions exist for terrorist actors to continue to create catalysts for crises,” it said.
On South Asia, the document said that ISIS-K (Islamic State – Khorasan Province) maintains a foothold in the region and aspires to conduct external attacks, but the Taliban is improving its security services and has taken aggressive action against it.
“The Taliban has conducted extensive raids against ISIS-K targets, likely thwarting some attacks, and driving some ISIS-K leaders to relocate to neighboring countries,” it said.
Pakistan continues to develop increasingly sophisticated missile technology that provides its military the means to develop missile systems with the capability to strike targets beyond South Asia, and if these trends continue, ICBMs that would threaten the US.
“Relations between Pakistan and the Taliban have been tense, with intermittent cross-border clashes, as Islamabad has become increasingly frustrated with the presence of anti-Pakistan terrorist groups in Afghanistan while Islamabad faces growing terrorist violence,” it said.
The document said that on February 26, the Afghan Taliban launched strikes against Pakistani military positions along their shared border, claiming retaliation for prior Pakistani airstrikes.
Pakistan responded within hours by bombing Afghan border provinces and the capital Kabul – the first time Pakistan has struck Afghanistan’s urban centres, it said.
“Fighting has continued since it erupted. Pakistan’s army chief warned this month that lasting peace requires the Taliban to sever ties with militants targeting Pakistan. The Taliban’s public posture has been to call for dialogue, but it has denied harboring anti-Pakistani militants,” the document said.